Gartner says demand for 4G smartphones in emerging markets spurred growth in second quarter of 2017

Via Gartner Newsroom

Aug 22, 2017

Egham, U.K., August 22, 2017

Shortage of Components Will Affect Sales of Premium Smartphones in Second Half of Year

Global sales of smartphones to end users totaled 366.2 million units in the second quarter of 2017, a 6.7 percent increase over the second quarter of 2016, according to Gartner, Inc. In the smartphone operating system market, Android extended its lead with 87.7 percent market share, while iOS accounted for 12.1 percent.

"Although demand for utility smartphones remains strong, there is growing demand in emerging markets for 4G smartphones, with more storage, better processors and more advanced cameras. This is translating into higher demand for midpriced [$150 to $200] smartphones," said Anshul Gupta, research director at Gartner.

Sales of all types of smartphone grew in the second quarter of 2017, compared with the second quarter of 2016. However, there is a concern about rising component costs, as well as limited supply, due to the reduced availability of critical components.

"We expect a shortage of flash memory and OLED [organic light-emitting diode] displays will affect premium smartphone supply in the second half of 2017," said Mr. Gupta. "We've already seen Huawei's P10 suffer from a flash memory shortage, and smaller, traditional brands, such as HTC, LG and Sony, are stuck between aggressive Chinese brands and the dominating market shares of Samsung and Apple in the premium smartphone segment."

Samsung's smartphone sales grew 7.5 percent, year over year, after three consecutive quarterly declines (see Table 1). The company had been hit hard by problems with the Galaxy Note 7, but the Galaxy S8 and S8+ are bringing back high demand for Samsung smartphones. "Despite growing competition from Chinese brands such as Huawei, Oppo and Vivo, we expect Samsung to register growth in 2017," said Mr. Gupta.

Table 1. Worldwide Smartphone Sales to End Users by Vendor in 2Q17 (Thousands of Units)

Vendor 2Q17 Units 2Q17 Market Share (%) 2Q16 Units 2Q16 Market Share (%)
Samsung 82,535.1 22.5 76,743.5 22.4
Apple 44,314.8 12.1 44,395.0 12.9
Huawei 35,964.3 9.8 30,670.7 8.9
Oppo 26,092.5 7.1 18,112.6 5.3
Vivo 24,324.6 6.6 14,240.5 4.1
Others 153,003.1 41.8 159,190.3 46.4
Total 366,234.4 100.0 343,352.5 100.0

Source: Gartner (August 2017)

Despite clearing the distribution channel of iPhone inventory amounting to 3.3 million units during the second quarter, Apple's sales were flat (down 0.2 percent), year over year.

"Apple's sales in emerging markets are expected to grow as older-generation iPhones continue to attract buyers. The new iOS 11, which will include augmented reality, machine learning, an improved Siri and a new display design, will likely fuel strong iPhone sales in the fourth quarter of 2017, and help Apple increase its sales in 2017," added Mr. Gupta.

Vivo and Oppo achieved the best performances in the second quarter of 2017, with year-over-year sales increases of 70.8 percent and 44.1 percent, respectively. Vivo's smartphones with front-facing cameras have carved out a niche for themselves. "Vivo maintained second place in China and grew its sales internationally," said Mr. Gupta. Similarly, Oppo secured its leading position in China by offering dual rear-facing and front-facing cameras.

Greater China and Emerging Asia/Pacific Markets Accounted for Nearly Half of Smartphone Sales

Greater China and emerging Asia/Pacific markets drove sales of smartphones in the second quarter of 2017, with market shares of (27.7 percent) and (21.4 percent), respectively (see Table 2).

Growing smartphone penetration of India, Indonesia and Southeast Asian countries drove a year-over-year rise in smartphone sales in the emerging Asia/Pacific group.

However, smartphone sales in Greater China declined, year over year, primarily due to longer replacement cycles and as users prefer to buy better smartphones.

"Large vendors continued to strengthen their positions by increasing their market share, while smaller brands lost ground in Greater China," said Mr. Gupta.

Sales in Western Europe returned to year-over-year growth, fueled especially by strong sales of Huawei and Samsung smartphones.

Table 2. Worldwide Top-Five Regions for Smartphone Sales to End Users in 2Q17 (Thousands of Units)

Region 2Q17 Units 2Q17 Market Share (%) 2Q16 Units 2Q16 Market Share (%)
Greater China 101524.5 27.7 114170.9 33.3
Emerging Asia/Pacific 78243.1 21.4 59429.7 17.3
North America 40438.0 11.0 38121.5 11.1
Western Europe 35790.5 9.8 31523.6 9.2
Latin America 32867.2 9.0 33050.3 9.6
Others 77371.1 21.1 67056.5 19.5
Total 366234.4 100.0 343352.5 100.0

Source: Gartner (August 2017)

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