Gartner's 2016 Hype Cycle for ICT in Africa shows Internet of Things to have the most beneficial impact on local businesses in two to five years

Via Gartner Newsroom

Aug 10, 2016

Cape Town, South Africa, August 10, 2016

Analysts to Discuss Digital Business Trends at Gartner Symposium/ITxpo2016, September 26-28 in Cape Town, South Africa

The Internet of Things (IoT) will reach mainstream adoption in the next two to five years in Africa and is expected to have the most transformational impact on local businesses in the same period, according to Gartner, Inc.’s 2016 Hype Cycle for information and communications technology (ICT) in Africa.

"The level of interest in, and the pace of adoption of, ICT in Africa are increasing, and, although Africa's insurance sector is small, it's a key indicator of where IoT opportunities exist and will prove long-lasting," said William Hahn, principal analyst at Gartner. "A growing number of insurers are seriously evaluating how the IoT might best be used, especially in terms of improving the customer experience."

Figure 1. Hype Cycle for ICT in Africa, 2016

Source: Gartner (August 2016)

The primary usage scenario for the IoT in Africa's insurance sector, initially, will be a "charging" scenario, in which connected "things" are monetized.

"For example, drivers will be charged premiums based not only on how far they drive, but also on how safely they drive and the degree of risk associated with when and where they drive," said Mr. Hahn.

Although challenges to widespread IoT adoption remain — a lack of access to end-user devices and policyholders' concerns about data privacy, for example — in the long term IoT data, combined with advanced analytics, will give insurers much greater insight into the risks their policyholders face.

"This will present insurers in Africa with opportunities to prevent losses before they occur, and prompt them to act to prevent risk, which could increase customer engagement and loyalty, and thereby reduce churn," said Mr. Hahn.

In addition, 11 technologies that will reach mainstream adoption in two to five years will have a high business impact in the continent in the same period. Among them is cloud office.

Cloud Office: High Business Impact in Two to Five Years

Cloud office includes email, instant messaging, file sharing, conferencing, document management and editing, and collaboration capabilities.

"Cloud office is becoming more mature, and enterprise adoption in Africa, as well as across the rest of the world, is growing," said Jeff Mann, research vice president at Gartner and conference chairman at Cape Town Symposium/ITxpo 2016. Gartner estimates that cloud office adoption will double from 15 percent in 2016 to 30 percent by the end of 2018.

"Companies in Africa and all around the world are opting for cloud delivery in the desire to reduce costs, redeploy IT staff, encourage simplicity, and provide more functionality to users more quickly," added Mr. Mann. "It's important that organizations look beyond a 'like for like' deployment that focuses only on recreating previous on-premises functionality in the cloud, and investigate the unique capabilities of cloud products to improve efficiency and provide innovation.

"All medium-sized and large organizations in Africa must decide about cloud office deployment, even if they decide not — or not yet — to opt for it," added Mr. Mann.

Mobile telephony will also continue to evolve in Africa, with further penetration by ultra-low-cost mobile devices in the next two years. With the proliferation of advanced underserved area comms (AUAC)* into semiurban and rural parts of Africa, Gartner expects AUAC to have a transformational business impact in Africa during the next five to 10 years.

"They could prove a powerful force for reducing the 'digital divide,' which is one of the biggest social issues in Africa. They could also be significant enablers for the increasing number of organizations looking to benefit commercially from the large opportunities offered by low income Africans," said Mr. Hahn.

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